Issue 72
A topic. All topics.
Bond Markets
Debt past $40 trillion, interest costing more than defense, and the one actor in the file that cannot be pressured.
What the record shows
The federal debt passed $40 trillion in August, five months after it passed $39 trillion. Interest alone costs more than $1.2 trillion a year, a Federal Reserve figure, which is more than the country spends on national defense. That is not a partisan number: debt rose sharply under both of the last 2 presidents.
In September the bond market priced the war and the deficit together. The 10-year Treasury yield, 3.95 percent at the end of February, passed 5 percent on 14 September and by 1 October had reached its highest level since 2002. The Guardian and Reuters give the same two reasons: oil prices feeding a second round of inflation, and investors who no longer believe the American deficit is sustainable.
Reassurance has not moved the market. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expanded bond buybacks in August, and by 10 September had tripled the program from $2 billion to $6 billion; yields kept climbing. On 16 September the Federal Reserve raised its rate for the first time since 2023, under a chair the president appointed and over his demand for rates of 1 percent or less.
The AI buildout borrows from the same pool. Technology companies borrowed roughly half a trillion dollars in the first 8 months of 2026 for AI infrastructure, and Reuters reports that Anthropic's offering filing shows Broadcom agreeing to lend it up to $42 billion to lease Broadcom's own chips.
Standing summary, carried forward and rewritten as the coverage moves. Every claim is sourced either to a dated edition below or to the named body that made the finding.
11 editions
Issue 62
The Bond Market Prices the Deficit. Washington Dismantles the Referee.
Issue 55
The Records Landed and the Claims Did Not Hold
Issue 34
The War's Real Bill Is Being Paid in Immigration Courts, Mail Ballots, and the Bond Market
Issue 32
The Iran War Is Arriving as a Price, Not a Front
Issue 24
Coercion Is the Policy, and the Bond Market Is the Only Thing Refusing It
Issue 23
You Cannot Sue a Bond Market
Issue 21
The Blockade and the Bond Market Are the Same Story
Issue 20
The Debt Crossed $40 Trillion. Nobody Counted the Trillion Going to the Pentagon.
Issue 19
Money Lost the Biggest Race on the Board, and the Surveillance State Had a Very Good Day
Issue 18